Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.053989 0.063335 0.073770 0.086276 0.100853 0.117306 0.137283
2025-08-17 0.037990 0.049668 0.064125 0.083315 0.108103 0.139030 0.180545
2025-08-24 0.029679 0.042179 0.058933 0.082983 0.116579 0.161815 0.227341
2025-08-31 0.023946 0.036465 0.054382 0.081812 0.122679 0.181246 0.271526
2025-09-07 0.020575 0.033255 0.052459 0.083535 0.132461 0.206422 0.326650
2025-09-14 0.017434 0.029733 0.049329 0.082659 0.137791 0.225206 0.374198
2025-09-21 0.014735 0.026400 0.045872 0.080536 0.140526 0.239872 0.416671
2025-09-28 0.012507 0.023461 0.042556 0.078019 0.142016 0.252349 0.456690
2025-10-05 0.011355 0.022222 0.041938 0.080007 0.151403 0.279122 0.524462
2025-10-12 0.010197 0.020776 0.040708 0.080645 0.158319 0.302196 0.588273
2025-10-19 0.009166 0.019406 0.039407 0.080912 0.164475 0.324457 0.653106
2025-10-26 0.008376 0.018393 0.038639 0.082076 0.172438 0.350931 0.729099
2025-11-02 0.007783 0.017720 0.038500 0.084580 0.183599 0.385333 0.825969
2025-11-09 0.006770 0.015987 0.035929 0.081643 0.183118 0.396350 0.876512
2025-11-16 0.006107 0.014930 0.034652 0.081311 0.188128 0.419269 0.955015
2025-11-23 0.005468 0.013828 0.033115 0.080162 0.191141 0.438210 1.027109
2025-11-30 0.005097 0.013309 0.032831 0.081851 0.200800 0.472812 1.138486
2025-12-07 0.004608 0.012422 0.031554 0.080992 0.204351 0.494007 1.221512
2025-12-14 0.004109 0.011428 0.029877 0.078911 0.204659 0.507677 1.288348
2025-12-21 0.003649 0.010466 0.028145 0.076443 0.203667 0.518095 1.348511
2025-12-28 0.003451 0.010183 0.028118 0.078393 0.214173 0.557759 1.486412
2026-01-04 0.003210 0.009745 0.027620 0.079018 0.221297 0.589805 1.608767
2026-01-11 0.002976 0.009293 0.027020 0.079280 0.227485 0.620175 1.730461